The "Rage and Fire" trip... Will Pelosi's visit spark a new war? #usa #china #uk #bitcoin
Amid international anticipation and an atmosphere of media war in China and America, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi arrived Tuesday in Taiwan, on the third leg of her Asian tour, which raises the level of tension between Washington and Beijing, refusing to visit the American official.
In addition to Taiwan, Pelosi's Asian tour includes Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, as well as Singapore, which began her tour on Monday.
Although the official announcement did not include Taiwan, China's warnings of the repercussions of taking such a step did not subside, as the foreign ministry spokesman declared that China "will respond firmly and America will pay the price," while a party official threatened that the People's Liberation Army Air Force "will make her visit a disgrace." against itself and the United States,” while the Chinese media turned into a battlefield in the past few days, while Russia considered it “destabilizing the world.”
Pelosi is the highest-ranking US elected official to visit Taiwan since former House Speaker Newt Gingrich in 1997. in US politics.
The issue of Taiwan - the self-governing island that China considers part of its territory - remains one of the most contentious issues between Washington and Beijing. President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping discussed the matter at length in a two-hour and 17-minute phone call last Thursday, as tensions escalated between Washington and Beijing.
How will China respond?
On the visit, the American expert on international and strategic affairs, Irina Zuckerman, said, "China continues to issue threats of military escalation, and since Beijing has become more intrusive in responding to the visit even without a clear plan by Pelosi, there is also increasing pressure domestically not to give up." to threats and not be seen as being pressured to cancel the visit by a hostile foreign power. Having indicated the possibility of a visit to Taiwan, the abrupt cancellation of the visit would be seen as a retreat from support for an ally in the midst of crisis."
"In the United States, part of the reason for the Pentagon and the White House in particular to criticize the potential visit despite the support of the State Department and Congress, as well as at the public level in general, is due to concerns about an escalation with China, while the community deals with The international community with major crises, such as energy shortages, inflation and food shortages, partly due to the war with Ukraine, and partly due to economic policies and environmental factors in various countries.”
"Clashes with China, even at the diplomatic level, may exacerbate economic difficulties and further stagnate in the markets, which the Biden administration has refused to acknowledge. Few in the Pentagon truly believe that China is looking forward to an open military confrontation with the United States at the moment," she explained. Firstly because of its unpreparedness for a major military crisis at this time, and secondly because of the potential negative economic impact domestically, while China is dealing with a massive crisis.”
She stressed that "it is highly unlikely that China will pursue military threats due to its close economic relations with the United States, the current economic disaster it is facing among other challenges such as domestic dissatisfaction with its response to the Corona virus, and its fears about starting a military conflict before. It is ready to do so." Not on their own terms. In fact, these threats are being issued to test a Biden administration that is seen as weak and a response to the perceived polarization within the United States that the Chinese Communist Party is willing to exploit without significant costs to its prestige."
It stated, "China has strictly avoided any serious clashes with the US Navy in the region; so far it has not bypassed provocations and espionage and has failed to attack the US military even though there is a great opportunity to do so. For this reason, it is unlikely even to bring down a political leader who makes a peaceful trip to Taiwan. Because that would be an open act of war that would be condemned internationally, even China dropped many of its investments in Russia due to fear of US sanctions. Chinese investments in Russia have fallen by as much as 50%. This alone tells us that China is interested in its economic relations with the United States and the damage that can be done. That the United States inflict more damage on its economy than the current provocations.”
She explained, "The Chinese response may occur but is not likely to be military. Pelosi may be given sanctions from visiting China in the future, or China may issue strong condemnations or withdraw some assets or investments from the United States in response; it may also engage in some provocations." minorities in the region, such as an increase in the military presence in the South China Sea.
In turn, Matthew Robinson, director of the Rome-based Gulf European Information Center, said: "While some officials in the Biden administration have warned against Pelosi's visit to Taiwan because it does not confuse the United States' long-standing support for the one-China policy, her potential visit received significant support. Bipartisan in Congress. Democrats and Republicans in the House and Senate have become more hawkish on China, and thus many on both sides have encouraged Pelosi to visit."
Robinson agreed with Zuckerman that Chinese threats would likely be nothing more than geopolitical “hot air,” noting that “while Beijing’s rhetoric has escalated, Pelosi’s landing in Taipei would not constitute an act of war or invasion. The Biden administration has made clear that U.S. policy Towards China has not changed and will not change regardless of any Pelosi's visit to Taiwan."
Pelosi, the first woman speaker of the House of Representatives, wants to be in the spotlight as there is speculation that her remaining term is in doubt as Republicans look to regain control of the House of Representatives in the November midterm elections.
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